So my predictions for New Hampshire were a bit off for both parties, but my GOP predictions for Iowa were pretty close. So, here it goes:
GOP - high turnout
McCain: 34
Romney: 25
Huckabee: 19
Paul: 8
Giuliani: 8
Thompson: 4
Hunter: 1
Dems - low turnout
Clinton: 60
Uncommitted: 37
Kucinich: 3
The Democratic race is a bit crazy, since Party HQ has said they violated the rules and so wont get their delegates seated. Excepting Clinton, the top-tier candidates didn't put their names on the ballot here. I'm thinking you'll see Clinton supporters come out, Kucinich supporters come out. Many Obama and Edwards supporters will come out and vote uncommitted.
But I'm guessing a large number will go where their votes will actually count, and vote in the Republican party. The Kos crowd will go to Mitt to try to sabotage the GOP. Some of the anti-war crowd will go to Ron Paul. Some of the social liberals will go to Giuliani. Some of the economic populists will go to Huckabee. But the biggest draw for independents and Democrats in the GOP race will be to climb aboard the Straight Talk Express.
Monday, January 14, 2008
oh what the hey - Michigan Predictions
Posted by shua d nedy at 3:30 PM
Labels: candidates, dems, gop, michigan, polls, predictions, voting
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1 comment:
Mine:
McCain 28
Romney 27
Huckabee 19
Guiliani 10
Thompson 8
Paul 6
Too close to call on the "winner" and makes South Caroline an even bigger battle.
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